The Defeat of Nuclear Deterrence

(foreignaffairs.com)

10 points | by Anon84 3 hours ago

3 comments

  • Supermancho 30 minutes ago
    > The Ukrainian operation was a spectacular example of a wider trend: nuclear deterrence is not working

    This article reads like clickbait. It ignores the context of the conflict in service of doomerism. It's vapid.

    The conflict was about resources. Russia got what it wanted and stopped. People may think the war is about more than that, but it wasn't and isn't from Russia's perspective.

    The incident described, was a guerrilla attack. A conventional attack that would provoke a nuclear response, from any nuclear country, would entail taking land from Russia (or a risk of national ground being gained) by a foreign force, capable of colonizing. That's what conventional means, not some checklist like "it must include tanks". Military losses are military losses during a war. Where they occur is incidental.

  • Havoc 1 hour ago
    The deterrence could weaken but I suspect a single use of a nuke could (assuming it doesn't MAD) bring back deterrence by normalising use somewhat.

    If you think about post hiroshima...I don't think anyone doubted the US was willing to wipe out cities

    So not entirely convinced it's dead

  • aaron695 1 hour ago
    [dead]